• 默克爾謝幕在即 德國內外交困

    全球 > | Time Weekly - 2019-12-31 04:38:34 來源:時代周報
  • [摘要] 四肖期期中准天天中码官方公布的12月歐元區制造業PMI數據再次集體走低,引發了市場擔憂。此前勉強躲過技術性衰退的德國,其12月制造業PMI初值僅為43.4,不及預期的44.6,而前值為44.1。

    時代周報記者 謝洋

    DEGUOZONGLIANGELA·MOKEERZHENGBURUZHIYESHENGYADEWANQI。

    四肖期期中准天天中码2019NIAN12YUE24RI,65SUIDEMOKEERDUGUOLEZHIZHENGDEDI5145TIAN,CHAOGUOLIANBANGDEGUOSHOURENZONGLIADENGNALIANGTIAN,CHENGWEIDEGUORENQIDIERCHANGDEZONGLI。

    2019NIAN7YUE11RI,MOKEERZAIBOLINHUIJIANFENLANZONGLIANDI·LINNEISHI,SHENTICHUXIANLEMINGXIANDEZHANDOU,TAKOUZHONGNIANNIANYOUCI—BUDAOYIGEYUEDESHIJIAN,LEISIDEQINGKUANGYIJINGZAIJINGTOUQIANCHUXIANLESANCI。BISHIDEGUODIANTAIZHAODAOCHUNYUZHUANJIAHATEBANGZHUJIEDU,HOUZHEZHICHU,MOKEERZAIZHONGFU“WONENGTINGZHU”ZHEJUHUA,YIGULIZIJITINGZHIZHANDOU。

    GUANFANGGONGBUDE12YUEOUYUANQUZHIZAOYEPMISHUJUZAICIJITIZOUDI,YINFALESHICHANGDANYOU。CIQIANMIANQIANGDUOGUOJISHUXINGSHUAITUIDEDEGUO,QI12YUEZHIZAOYEPMICHUZHIJINWEI43.4,BUJIYUQIDE44.6,ERQIANZHIWEI44.1。

    CHULEJINGJIYINYOU,GUONEIZHENGTANTONGYANGDONGDANGBUAN,SUIRANMOKEERYIJINGZHIDINGLEJIMINMENGZHUXI、XIANRENDEGUOFANGCHANGKALUNBAOERZUOWEITADEJIEBANREN,DAN《XINSULISHIBAO》PINGLUNZHICHU,MUQIANDEDALIANHEZHENGFUSHIDAIJIANGJIESHU,DEGUOZHENGZHIJIANGDAKAI“BIANGEZHIMEN”;CONGWAIBUHUANJINGSHANGKAN,ZAI2019NIANOUZHOUYIHUIDEXUANJUSHANG,DEGUOLIANGDAZHIZHENGDANGJIHUYIBAITUDI,ERZAIBEIYUE70ZHOUNIANSHENGRIQIANHOU,MOKEERYOUYUFAGUOZONGTONGMAKELONGCHANSHENGLEFENQI。

    BURU“HOUMOKEERSHIDAI”DEDEGUOZHENGZHANZAISHIZILUKOU—ZHONGXINDANDANGQIOUYUANQUHUOCHETOUDEJIAOSE,YIHUOSHIMOKEERBANDEYINGXIONGCHIMU?

    停滯的火車頭

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    DANZHENGSHIZHEJIAFUKEDIGUODETOUXING,LAXIANGLEWEIJIDEJINGBAO。2019NIAN7YUE7RI,DEYIZHIYINXINGTURANXUANBU,JIANGCONGQUANQIUGUPIAOXIAOSHOUHEJIAOYIYEWUZHONGTUICHUYISUOJIANTOUXINGYEWUGUIMO,CONGERJIANGQICHENGBENYASUOSIFENZHIYIZHI170YIOUYUAN;LINGWAIHUANJIANGZAI2022NIANQIANCAIYUAN1.8WANREN。

    四肖期期中准天天中码YINGGUO《JINRONGSHIBAO》CENGYUANYINDEYINDENIANDUBAOGAOCHENG,JIEZHI2018NIAN12YUE31RI,DEYINDEMINGYIYANSHENGPINFENGXIANCHANGKOUDADAOLE43.5WANYIOUYUAN—ZUOWEIQUANQIUDISIDAJINGJITI,DEGUOZAI2018NIANDEGDPZONGLIANGJINWEI3WANYIOUYUAN。

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    LIANGDAJUTOUJIELIANXIANRUKUNJING,LADONGOUYUANQUDEHUOCHETOUYESHIRULENITAN,ZI2018NIANXIABANNIANYILAI,DEGUOBIANYIZHIZHANZAIJINGJIDUOCIJISHUXINGSHUAITUIDEXUANYASHANG,MOKEERYIGUANZHUZHANGDEJINSUODECAIZHENGZHENGCEHONGLISIHUZOUDAOLEJINTOU。

    四肖期期中准天天中码JIERSHIJIEJINGJIYANJIUSUO(Kiel Institute)ZAI2019NIAN10YUEFENDEYANBAOZHONGZHICHU,YUJI2019NIANDEGUOGDPJINZENGCHANG0.4%,BICIQIANDEYUCEDI0.2GEBAIFENDIAN;SHANGYICICHUXIANRUCIPIRUANDEJINGJISHUJUSHIZAI2013NIANOUZHAIWEIJIZHIHOU。

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    2018NIAN10YUE29RI,MOKEERZHENGSHIXUANBU,JIANGBUZAIJINGXUANJIMINMENGDEDANGSHOUXUANJU,2019NIAN5YUEFEN,TAZAICIZHONGSHENZIJIZAI2021NIANDISIGEZONGLIRENQIJIESHUHOU,JIANGBUXUNQIULIANREN,YIBUZAIDANRENRENHEDEGUOGUONEIDEZHENGZHIZHIWU。

    TUIYIYIJUEDEMOKEERJIANGZAI2021NIANHOUCHEDIGAOBIEZHENGTAN,ERRUJIN“HOUMOKEERSHIDAI”BUJINYAOZAIJINGJISHANGPAILEI,GENGYAOMIANLINGUONEIWAIYANJUNDEZHENGZHITIAOZHAN。

    鐵娘子內外交困

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    YOUYUMINWANGDEXIAHUA,ZAI2017NIANDAXUANZHONG,DEGUOYOUYIZHENGDANGLINGLEIXUANZEDANGSHOUCIJINRUGUOHUI,YELINGMOKEERSUOZAIDELIANMENGDANGYUHEZUOHUOBANSHEMINDANGDEXIANXIKUODA;2018NIAN3YUE,SHEMINDANGYULIANMENGDANGZUCHENGDALIANHEZHENGFU,DANSHEMINDANGNEIZUOPAIRENWEISHEMINDANGWEILIANHEZHIZHENGSUOZUOTUOXIEGUODUO,DAOZHIGAIDANGZHUJIANSHIQUXUANMINZHICHI,YINCIYIZHIZHUZHANGJINKUAITUICHULIANHEZHENGFU。

    四肖期期中准天天中码SHUANGFANGDEMAODUNZAI2019NIANOUZHOUYIHUIXUANJUGUOHOUCHEDIBAOFA。12YUE6RI,SHEMINDANGXUANJUSASIJIYA·AISIKENHENUOBEITE·WAERTE-BOERYANGSIWEIDANGZHUXI,LIANGRENZHUZHANGYULIANMENGDANGJIUXIUGAILIANHEZHIZHENGXIEYIJINXINGTANPAN,SHITANPANJIEGUOJUEDINGSHEMINDANGSHIFOUTUICHUZHIZHENGLIANMENG。

    四肖期期中准天天中码LIANMENGDANGSUIRANJUJUELEGAITANPANYAOQIU,DANRUGUOSHEMINDANGZHIYIYAOTUICHU,ZEMOKEERZHENGFUJIANGCHENGWEIYIHUISHAOSHUPAI,BINGCHUFATIQIANJUXINGLIANBANGYIYUANXUANJU,MOKEERZHENGZHISHENGYAYEJIANGTIQIANJIESHU。

    四肖期期中准天天中码CIWAI,2019NIANSAKESEN、BOLANDENGBAO、TULINGENSANGEDONGBUZHOUJUXINGLEDIFANGXUANJU,JIEGUOXIANSHI,DEGUOXUANZEDANGLICHENGWEIGAIDIQUDIYIDADANGJINYIBUZHIYAO。SUIRANMOKEERYIJINGZHIDINGLEZIJIDEJIEBANREN,DANSUIZHUGEFANGSHILIDEJUEQIHEZHENGZHIGUANGPUDECHONGTU,DALIANHEZHENGFUSHIDAIHUOJIANGGAOZHONG。

    ZAIWAIJIAOCENGMIAN,《XINGQIRITAIWUSHIBAO》PIPINGMOKEERZAIELUOSI“BEIXI2HAO”XIANGMUSHANGDETUOXIEZAOCHENGLEDUIBEIYUEHEDONGOUDEWEIXIE;PENGBOSHEZEZHICHU,DEGUOZAIGUOQULIANGNIANZHONGYI“WEISHAN”DEFANGSHIPAOQILEFAGUO。

    ZHIDEYITIDESHI,ZAIBEIYUE70ZHOUNIANSHENGRIHUISHANG,MOKEERDUIMAKELONGGUANYUBEIYUE“NAOSIWANG”DEYANLUNJINXINGLEHUIJI。YAOZHIDAO,GUOQU10DUONIAN,MOKEERYIZHISHISHIZHISHANGDEOUMENGLINGXIU,TAQUANLITUIDONGDAFUDEYUSUANYINGYUZHEYIZHUZHANG,BINGXIERUMASITELIHETETIAOYUE(Maastricht Treaty)。

    四肖期期中准天天中码KERUJINXIONGXINBOBODEMAKELONGCHENGWEILETAZUIDADETIAOZHANZHE,TEBIESHIDEGUOLIANGDAZHIZHENGDANGZAIOUZHOUYIHUISHANGCANBAIGUOHOU,NEIBUQUANLIDETIANPINGZHENGZAIXIANGMAKELONGQINGXIE,DEFAZHIJIANDEGUANXIYEYUFAWEIMIAO。

    四肖期期中准天天中码ZHISHANGSUO(CME)ZISHENJINGJIXUEJIAErik NorlandZAIYIFENYANBAOZHONGPANDUAN,MOKEERLIURENDEGUOZONGLIDERIZIYISHIQUZHIKESHU,SUIZHUTAYIQIGAOBIEDEHUANYOUDEGUODECAIZHENGJINSUOZHENGCE。“JISHIZHIZHENGLIANMENGBUFANGSONGQIANDAI,ZONGYOUZHENGDANGHUIZHEMEZUO。YIDANDEGUOFANGKUANCAIZHENGZHENGCE,OUZHOUJINGJIZENGCHANGXINGSHIJIUKENENGGAISHAN。”

WEILEBAOZHENGQIYEXIANJINLIU,JIANSHAONADICHENGWEIFANGQIDEPUBIANDONGZUOZHIYI。SHUJUXIANSHI,JIEZHI2019NIAN10YUE,QUANGUOZHUYAOCHENGSHI62%DEREDIANDIKUAIJUNYIDIJIACHENGJIAO。

12YUE26RI,QIANDAMAXUANBUWANCHENG10YIYUANDLUNRONGZI,TONGSHI,SHENGXIANKUAISONGFUWUTIGONGSHANGPUPUCHAOSHIZAI10YUEHUODEB2LUN1YIMEIYUANRONGZI,MUQIANYIDAOZHANG3000WANMEIYUAN。

2018NIANMO,WOGUOZHUHUBUMENDAIKUANYUE47.9WANYIYUAN,ZHUHUBUMENDAIKUANYUEZHANCUNKUANLEIJINRONGJIGOUQUANBUDAIKUANYUEDEBILIWEI35.1%;QIZHONG,GERENZHUFANGDAIKUANYUEWEI25.8WANYIYUAN,ZHANZHUHUBUMENZHAIWUYUEDEBILIWEI53.9%。

DOUSHILIRENZAIGONGGAOZHONGBIAOSHI,CHULEYEJIYUANYINWAI,KUISUNZHUYAOYUANYINHUANZAIYUNIYICIXINGDAGUIMOBOBEI,DOUSHILIRENJIHUAYICIXINGPIEJIANYUE6.5YIYUANZHI7YIYUANCUNHUO,YICIXINGHUOMIANJITUANZHUYAOKEHUYUE3.1YIYUANZHI3.5YIYUANDETUOQIANJINE。

ZHEGELIJINGYINIANDEQUANSHANGBINGGOUAN,ZHONGJIANGXUEZILUODI,ZHONGXINZHENGQUANRUHEZHENGHEBIQILISHIHUANYAOCHANGDEGUANGZHOUZHENGQUAN?CHENGWEISHICHANGGUANZHUDEXIAYIGEJIAODIAN。ZAIZHENGJIANHUIYAOTUIJINDAZAOHANGMUJIQUANSHANGBEIJINGXIA,ZHONGXINZHENGQUANSHOUGOUQIAFENGQISHI。

JUTONGJI,2008NIAN-2018NIAN,QUANSHENGSHUIWUXITONGWEI“SANJIU”GAIZAOXIANGMUJIANMIANGELEISHUIFEI1100YIYUAN,TUIDONGLE“SANJIU”GAIZAODESHENRUSHISHI,TISHENGLEJINGJIHUOLI。

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